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Hanta. Nipah.
Hendra. Ebola. West Nile. Arena. Lassa. With their exotic names
and distant origins, they suggest scourges of the past, such as
smallpox, vanquished by vaccines, antibiotics and modern hygiene.
But the past few years have brought striking episodes of the devastating
effects of emerging and dormant viruses, serving as a powerful reminder
of how susceptible the human population is and how quixotic the
concept of conquering the world’s viruses ultimately may prove to
be.
Consider these
recent incidents:
- Last month,
an 83-year-old Israeli man died of complications of West Nile
virus, the same virus that killed seven people and sickened 62
in the New York metropolitan region last summer. Five elderly
people have been diagnosed with the virus this year, although
none have died. The mosquitoborne virus, which causes encephalitis
and meningitis, was unknown in the Western Hemisphere before last
year. Outbreaks in Israel, Romania and South Africa during the
past 40 years have killed hundreds and sickened thousands.
- One hundred
people dead and 1 million pigs slaughtered in Malaysia because
of the newly discovered Nipah virus. Researchers isolated strains
of the deadly virus in urine collected from a type of fruit bat.
It made itself known when it crossed over to pigs, then humans.
The CDC has put Nipah in the class of viruses called paramyxoviruses,
which includes Hanta, HIV, measles, mumps and Hendra. There is
no known cause or cure.
- Four cases
of hantavirus, one fatal, were reported in California this spring,
all in the rural, mountainous regions of Yolo and Mono counties.
Spread primarily by deer mice, the virus was rarely seen outside
the arid Southwest until last year. Infection leads to hantavirus
pulmonary syndrome, a potentially fatal illness that starts with
a fever and can progress to shortness of breath severe enough
to warrant intubation.
- California
also is the new home of arenavirus, a rodentborne virus never
before seen in North America. The virus, usually found only in
South America and Africa, killed a teen-age girl from Oakland
in April. Arenaviruses cause hemorrhagic diseases, including Argentine
hemorrhagic fever, Lassa fever, Bolivian hemorrhagic fever and
lymphocytic choriomeningitis.
- In 1994,
Hendra virus, transmitted by fruit bats, killed 14 racehorses
and two people, including the horses’ trainer, in Australia.
Unforeseen
trends
Infectious
diseases are now the world’s leading killer of children and young
adults, accounting for 13 million deaths per year, said David Heymann,
MD, executive director for communicable diseases for the World Health
Organization. One in two of those deaths occurred in developing
countries.
In the United
States, mortality from infectious diseases increased 58 percent
from 1980 to 1992, according to a study published in the Jan. 6,
1999, issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association,
a trend that was unforeseen. According to the National Center for
Health Statistics Division of Vital Statistics, the number of deaths
in the United States each year from all non-HIV-related infectious
diseases combined is 37,826, higher than the number of suicides.
If the trend
was unforeseen, it is because antibiotics and vaccines have made
the world complacent, said Don Henderson, MD, director of the Johns
Hopkins University Center for Civilian Biodefense Studies in Baltimore.
"What is happening now is not surprising, or shouldn’t be surprising,"
he said. "I think we’ve gone through a period when we believed
we had whipped infectious diseases. But mutations and change are
part of nature. What is surprising is the frequency and severity
of the outbreaks."
Also surprising
is the sheer number of new infectious diseases, not to mention new
places where old ones are landing. "We’re testing a lot more
now because we have so many more viruses now," said Carol Glaser,
MD, medical officer for the California Department of Health Services’
viral disease laboratory. "The old pathogens haven’t gone away,
and there are all these new pathogens to consider."
Experts are
mostly at a loss to explain why so many viruses are emerging now,
as well as how they migrate beyond customary boundaries and spread
from one species to another.
Frequent explanations
are global warming, global travel, global commerce, a change in
the distribution of disease-carrying animals and insects, population
movement due to civil wars and natural disasters, and the migration
patterns of birds, bats and insects. A 1992 Institute of Medicine
report also listed IV drug use and risky sexual practices, increased
human contact with rain forests and other wilderness habitats, and
increased urbanization and crowding.
West Nile virus
probably was imported on a bird, CDC spokesman Tom Skinner said.
But what bird, and where it came from, is unknown, he said. Tests
in New York point to the house sparrow as a reservoir, along with
crows, but the virus originally could have flown in on a gull that
shared a tick with an altogether different bird. But it is also
possible the virus entered the United States in the blood of a tourist
from Israel, which experienced an outbreak in 1998.
Diagnostic
difficulties
Not
surprisingly, the unfamiliarity of these viruses already has led
to misdiagnoses and incorrect treatment. Difficulty in diagnosing
West Nile virus is being blamed for the death of an elderly New
York man and for the misdiagnosis of a teen-age boy.
In the first
case, a 69-year-old man who reported progressive weakness was diagnosed
with Guillain-Barré syndrome. West Nile virus was not diagnosed
for two weeks, but by then he was severely paralyzed and on a ventilator.
In the second
case, a 15-year-old boy was hospitalized after three days of fever,
headache, vomiting and confusion. The boy eventually recovered but
spinal and blood tests later revealed infection with the virus.
And when the
Nipah outbreak occurred in Malayasia, health care workers initially
believed they were dealing with Japanese encephalitis, which has
similar symptoms of fever, aches and coma. Health care workers had
to rethink their diagnosis when pigs started dying, too, which does
not happen with Japanese encephalitis. Several of those who were
infected had been inoculated against Japanese encephalitis, further
complicating the diagnosis.
"The truth
is, it’s really tricky because you have nonspecific symptoms that
look like the flu," Glaser said. "And it may be the flu,
or it may not be the flu."
Fighting
back
Recognizing
the need for stepped-up efforts to combat infectious diseases, the
CDC’s National Center for Infectious Diseases has called for action:
- Strengthen
infectious disease surveillance and response.
- Integrate
laboratory science and epidemiology to optimize public health
practice.
- Strengthen
public health infrastructures to support surveillance and research
and to implement prevention control programs.
- Ensure prompt
implementation of prevention strategies and enhance communication
of public health information about emerging diseases.
Lindsay Martinez,
MD, communicable diseases specialist for WHO, calls epidemiological
investigation and laboratory diagnosis the "two pillars"
of a good surveillance system. "Effective response to outbreaks
depends on accurate confirmation of diagnosis, in every region of
the world, preferably as close as possible to the affected site,"
Martinez said.
Several states California,
New York and Tennessee among them have added new surveillance and
diagnostic programs, Glaser said. California has long used flocks
of "sentinel chickens" as a means of tracking infection
in the bird population and has begun cooperating with the CDC on
an encephalitis program designed to take a comprehensive look at
outcome, etiology and causes of the disease, she said.
Yet at a time
when infectious diseases are on the rise, only 1 percent of the
nation’s health care budget is devoted to prevention efforts, the
CDC said.
This will have
to change, Henderson said. "There’s no way around it, it’s
going to cost us some money. We need to educate and cultivate the
medical community, and that is going to take resources," he
said.
"Eternal
vigilance is the only solution," he added. "I think Joshua
Lederburg, the Nobel laureate, said it best. He said viruses are
man’s only real competitors for domination of the planet."
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