In,
let’s say, 2060, give or take 30 years, a 95-year-old retired nurse
ambles into the waiting area of a local nurse-run clinic. She feels
terrible, she tells the receptionist. "I want to talk to a
real person, not a face on a computer." He scans her medical
history from a band on her wrist, then summons a nurse.
The
nurse invites the woman to sit and calls up her information on a
handheld computer. She uses another scanner to obtain vital signs
and blood work from a microchip implanted in the woman’s body. There’s
no evidence of bacteria or a virus. Genetic information does not
predispose her to heart disease. She’s taken all her medications
without problems.
The
nurse is tempted to send the woman home and have her contact her
personal caregiver by computer, but the woman has made it clear
she wants to see someone in person. So the nurse takes the patient’s
hand, looks her in the eye and asks questions.
Welcome
to nursing in the new millenium.
If
trends continue, most nurses will see patients in their homes and
community nursing centers, predict researchers, nursing educators
and others who ponder the profession’s future. Hospitals will be
reserved for the very ill. As people live longer, managing multiple
chronic illnesses will become a major task of health care.
Gene
therapy and vaccines may end illnesses such as AIDS and cancer,
but new and resistant diseases will keep popping up. Monitoring
devices such as implanted microchips and cameras will allow caregivers
to track patients’ health conditions in their homes and stop problems
before they start.
Technology
already is available for health care workers to monitor patients’
glucose levels, blood pressure and other vital signs from their
homes. "Smart toilets" measure urine sugar. "Smart
medicine cabinets" let people know what pills they need to
take. At a recent conference on cybermedicine, researchers discussed
virtual clinics that would connect health experts to astronauts
on a three-year mission to Mars, said Tom McKay, Ph.D., RN, director
of nursing and health services at Hartnell College in Salinas, Calif.
In
fact, technology now exists to do most things in any futuristic
scenario, said Kathleen Young, MA, RN, who teaches infomatics at
Western Michigan University School of Nursing. At the beginning
of her class, Young has students write about what health care technology
might look like in 20 years. She encourages "Star Trek"
and "The Jetsons" fantasies like the one above. By the
end of the session, most students realize that the technology they
wrote about is already here, she said. "We just haven’t put
it all together."
"Do
you live alone?" the nurse asks. The patient replies that her
husband died recently. She has trouble sleeping. But last night,
a friend gave her an herbal tea that seemed to help.
Bells
go off in the nurse’s head. The woman can’t remember the name of
the tea, so the nurse calls the friend on her computer and gets
a picture of dried herbs over the screen. She sends it to a toxicologist
at a nearby hospital and an on-call herbal specialist in another
state.
The
herbalist responds first. When mixed with one of the patient’s medications,
an ingredient in the otherwise harmless tea causes a life-threatening
reaction in some people. The woman’s genetic code shows she is one
of them. The toxicologist, herbalist and pharmacist consult with
the patient’s personal caregiver, also a nurse, on how to adjust
medications. The clinic nurse explains to the patient what’s going
on. Within minutes, a robot delivers a vial. The nurse scans it
to make sure it matches her information, then sprays it into the
patient’s mouth.
The
traditional hierarchy of the medical world is already changing,
said Julie Fairman, Ph.D., RN, FAAN, associate professor at the
School of Nursing at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia.
Nurses are sharing more duties with physicians, and in the case
of nurse practitioners and advance practice nurses, becoming primary
caregivers. In the future, she said, "maybe physicians will
look more like nurses and vice versa."
Most
likely, nurses in the future will be part of a team of caregivers
from around the globe, said Greer Glazer, Ph.D., NP, RN, FAAN, legislative
editor of the Online Journal of Issues in Nursing and director
of Parent-Child Nursing at Kent State University in Ohio. "You’ll
have the expert at the touch of a button."
A
central monitoring station linked to the community where all kinds
of health care providers check in with their patients and with each
other, Glazer predicted, could replace traditional nursing stations.
Hospital nurses already use cell phones and wear devices that track
where they are on the floor, Young said. Eventually, she said, nurses
probably won’t need a nursing station, just "a very large tool
belt."
The
nurse walks her patient to an observation room, where she will be
monitored for reactions.
In
the bright room, other patients are reading medical journals or
plotting personal health charts. Cameras and monitors give constant
readings on their conditions. A patient educator talks with the
woman about sleep disorders. He gives her a list of herbal remedies
that won’t interact with her medications. He also helps her contact
a grief counselor for a brief online session. When the woman’s son
comes to pick her up, the nurse stops by to talk to both of them.
"I
was really scared at first," the woman tells her son as they
walk to the door. "But when that nurse took my hand, I knew
I’d be all right."
Baby
boomers and their children, accustomed to the best, already are
demanding a greater say in their health care. Nurses are naturals
to partner with patients to help make health decisions they can
live with, said Carol Bickford, Ph.D., RN, senior policy fellow
in the Department of Nursing Practice for the American Nurses Association.
To
meet the challenges and take advantage of the opportunities ahead,
nursing students will need to assess not just patients, but technology,
McKay said. They must become lifelong learners, constantly processing
information. They must be prepared for constant change, said Carolyn
Williams, Ph.D., RN, president of the American Association of Colleges
of Nursing. "What we teach them in the first year of nursing
may change by the time they graduate."
The
next generation of nurses also must make their voices heard in discussions
of health care policy and issues, said Katherine Kany, RN, a senior
labor relations specialist for the ANA. They must help answer questions
such as: How do caregivers keep patient information private? Who
pays for heath care and who receives it? Is the public willing to
pay for the human face nursing puts on health care?
Whether
the future is as bright as the one in our scenario or fraught with
disappointment will depend less on technology and more on social
and political questions about its use, nursing educators and policy
makers say.
Most
important, Young said, nurses must keep passing the torch containing
what all the technology in the world can’t replicate: human touch,
human instinct and human spirit.
"Hopefully,
the device won’t become the patient," she said. "The device
is just a tool."
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