it's in
the stars

What's in the stars
for health care in 1999?

January 18, 1999

That's what we aimed to find out. So, we asked health care stars what they thought would be the most remarkable change or event in health care in 1999.

Most believe issues of access and cost will continue to create problems, and few think that this year will be the one in which our society finds a workable way to solve our healthcare woes. The bottom line for most experts is simple: The new year will be nothing to brag about unless we make progress in expanding access, controlling costs, and improving the ability of patients to get what they need at a realistic price.

But as you read the following predictions, remember even experts have their limitations. There is a proverb in Japan, "He who can see three days ahead will be rich for 3,000 years."

Leanne Kaiser Carlson, MSHA
Futurist at Kaiser and Associates

David Eddy, PhD, MD
Senior adviser at Kaiser Permanente Southern California

Paul Ginsburg, PhD
President of the Center for Studying Health System Change

Suzanne Gordon
Author of Life Support; Three Nurses on the Front Lines

Val J. Halamandaris
President of the National Association for Home Care

Susan Harris, MPA, RN
Senior vice president at Pacific Health Consulting Services

Echo Heron, RN
Author

Wanda Jones, MPH
President of the New Century Healthcare Institute

J.D. Kleinke
Medical economist and author of
Bleeding Edge: The Business of Health Care in the New Century

Donna Shalala, PhD
Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services

Judith Shindul-Rothschild, PhD, RN
Associate Professor at Boston College School of Nursing

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